Tariff Se Tez Mehngai Aur Badhte Recession Ke Asaar – USA 2025 Policy Breakdown”

Introduction: April 2, 2025 ke baad badla global trade ka landscape

April 2, 2025 ko USA ne naye import tariffs lagu kiye, jismein 10% se lekar 34% tak ki duty shamil hai, especially China, EU, aur Canada jaise countries par. Yeh decision, President Trump ki America First policy ka hissa hai, jiska maksad trade deficit aur unfair practices se nipatna hai. Lekin experts ke mutabiq, yeh tariffs short-term inflation, job losses, aur recession ka dar le kar aaye hain.

Tariffs ka Asar: Consumer aur Businesses dono ke liye tough time

   Imported goods ki cost badhne wali hai

Electronics, kapde, aur food jaise imported items mehngai ka shikar ban sakte hain. Ek estimate ke mutabiq, ek American family ko $3,500 extra har saal kharchna padega. Yani ki low-income families ke liye yeh policy kaafi burden create karegi.

   Businesses bhi stress mein hain

Automobile jaise industries, jahan imported parts heavily use hote hain, unka production cost badhega. Result? Car prices approx $3,000 tak badh sakti hain, aur production mein 30% ka drop expected hai – around 20,000 vehicles per day ka nuksaan.

Economic Impact: GDP Growth, Jobs aur Investments pe negative effect

     GDP mein girawat ka estimate

Yale Budget Lab ke research ke mutabiq, GDP 2025 mein 0.6% tak kam ho sakti hai, aur long-term mein $80-110 billion/year ka loss hone ka risk hai.

      Jobs ka mixed impact

Kahi industries jaise steel mein thoda job growth ho sakta hai, lekin import-dependent sectors mein layoffs kaafi ho sakte hain. Hiring slow ho rahi hai, investments hold pe ja rahe hain.

Global Trade War aur Recession ke Asaar

      Retaliation shuru ho chuka hai

• China ne April 10 se 34% tariff laga diya hai US goods pe.

• Canada ne US cars pe 25% duty announce ki hai.

Yeh tit-for-tat retaliation global trade war ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

      Recession ka fear badhta ja raha hai

• Goldman Sachs ne recession probability 35% batayi hai.

• JP Morgan ne ise aur bhi zyada serious lete hue 60% chance bola hai.

• S&P 500 ne April 3 ko $2.4 trillion ka market cap lose kiya – COVID ke baad sabse bada dip.

Political Drama: Bipartisan Pushback

April 3, 2025 ko Senate ne 51-48 vote se Canada par tariffs reject kar diye. Democrats aur Republicans dono ne is step ka virodh kiya. Senators jaise Chuck Grassley aur Maria Cantwell ne bill propose kiya jisme future tariffs pe Congress ki approval mandatory banane ki demand hai.

  America aur Global Economy dono ke liye testing time

April 2 se lagu hua yeh tariff regime, US consumers aur businesses ke liye costly sabit ho raha hai. Recession ke indicators – jaise mehngai, GDP slowdown, aur job uncertainty – strong ho gaye hain. Experts ne 2025 ke andar recession ke 35% se 60% chance express kiye hain.

Jab tak geopolitical tensions aur domestic economic strategies clear nahi hote, global markets aur economies ko instability ka samna karna padega.